PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad — Hapoel Tel Aviv FC: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.3% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 45.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.4% / 24.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.0% / 71.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.8% / 94.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
PFC Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad have a slight edge over Hapoel Tel Aviv FC in this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear difference between the sides. Home advantage may support Ludogorets, but the overall outlook remains balanced enough for Hapoel Tel Aviv to stay competitive throughout.
A medium-scoring game is the most suitable expectation, with neither team showing a clearly stronger indication in the scoring markets. Both teams scoring is effectively a coin flip, so the match could develop into an open contest or remain relatively controlled. Ludogorets appear marginally more likely to impose themselves, but the draw remains a credible possibility and the visitors should not be discounted.
What matters before kick-off
UEFA Conference League qualification second leg
On 30 July 2026, Bulgarian club PFC Ludogorets Razgrad hosts Israel's Hapoel Tel Aviv FC in the second leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round at the Huvepharma Arena in Razgrad.
First leg result
In the first leg of the second qualifying round tie held on 23 July 2026, Hapoel Tel Aviv secured a 2-0 home victory against Ludogorets Razgrad.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.