Sheffield United — Wolverhampton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 52.1% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 73.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.6% / 18.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.9% / 64.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.7% / 91.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.30 → now 3.50 |
| W2 | was 2.10 → now 2.00 |
Match preview
Sheffield United face Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Championship meeting that appears finely balanced but gives the visitors a slight edge. The assessment points towards a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair, with Wolverhampton Wanderers carrying the stronger overall position in the matchup. Sheffield United should still have enough attacking threat to remain involved, particularly in a game expected to offer a moderate level of scoring.
Both teams are likely to score, which suggests Sheffield United will have opportunities even if Wolverhampton Wanderers are better placed to control the key moments. The most plausible scenarios include a 1-1 draw or a narrow Wolverhampton Wanderers victory, with 1-2 and 0-2 also consistent with the wider outlook. The X2 signal reflects that the visitors are favoured to avoid defeat, while the high confidence indicates a clear, though not overwhelming, preference for Wolverhampton Wanderers.
What matters before kick-off
Wolverhampton Wanderers squad news
Defender Kieran Trippier returned to full training and could be an option for the squad, while Jean-Ricner Bellegarde is in contention after recovering from a hamstring injury. However, Yerson Mosquera and Rafiki Said remain sidelined.
Recent result and schedule context
Sheffield United enter the fixture following a 2-1 comeback victory over Blackburn Rovers on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Wolverhampton Wanderers had a clear midweek to prepare for the match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.