Sheffield United — Wolverhampton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.7% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 74.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.6% / 38.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.7% / 17.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 37.7% / 62.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.3% / 79.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Sheffield United
13th place · 9 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.09.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 05.09.2026 home Norwich 1:3
- 01.09.2026 home Bolton 3:2
- 29.08.2026 away Cardiff 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Swansea 0:0
Wolverhampton Wanderers
14th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Birmingham 2:2
- 01.09.2026 away West Ham 2:4
- 29.08.2026 home Stoke 4:1
- 22.08.2026 away Preston 3:1
- 14.08.2026 home Blackburn 2:2
This season: Sheffield United at home vs Wolverhampton Wanderers away
| Metric | Sheffield United · at home | Wolverhampton Wanderers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.10 | 1.65 |
| xG against per match | 1.90 | 1.37 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.02.2024 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 Sheffield United
- 04.11.2023 Sheffield United 2:1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 17.04.2021 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 Sheffield United
- 14.09.2020 Sheffield United 0:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 08.07.2020 Sheffield United 1:0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 01.12.2019 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 Sheffield United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sheffield United face Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Championship meeting where the visitors hold the clearer overall position. The assessment points to an away slight edge, with the high confidence indicating that Wolverhampton Wanderers are considered more likely to avoid defeat than Sheffield United. This does not remove the possibility of a balanced contest, particularly with the draw also fitting the expected pattern.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, and both teams are likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open enough game without indicating an especially high-scoring encounter. Sheffield United should remain competitive at home, but Wolverhampton Wanderers appear to have the stronger outcome profile. The main analytical signal is therefore on Wolverhampton Wanderers avoiding defeat, while a draw remains a credible alternative alongside a narrow away win.
What matters before kick-off
Sheffield United win ahead of fixture
Sheffield United enter the Sunday fixture following a 2-1 away victory against Blackburn Rovers on Tuesday.
Wolves on three-game away run
Wolverhampton Wanderers face Sheffield United at Bramall Lane in their third consecutive away fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.