Sheffield United — Lincoln City: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.7% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.9% / 8.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.4% / 25.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.8% / 73.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Sheffield United
18th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Stoke 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Wolves 0:1
- 08.09.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 05.09.2026 home Norwich 1:3
- 01.09.2026 home Bolton 3:2
Lincoln City
13th place · 11 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Swansea 1:2
- 15.09.2026 away Bristol City 1:0
- 12.09.2026 away Preston 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Southampton 1:1
- 01.09.2026 home Blackburn 0:0
This season: Sheffield United at home vs Lincoln City away
| Metric | Sheffield United · at home | Lincoln City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 3–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| xG against per match | 1.89 | 1.49 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sheffield United host Lincoln City in a Championship fixture where the table tells a slightly awkward story for the home side. Sheffield United sit 18th of 24 after eight rounds, having taken nine points, while Lincoln City are five places and two points better off in 13th. Recent form reinforces that gap: Sheffield United have won two of their last five and lost three, whereas Lincoln City are unbeaten in four of their last five, with two wins and two draws across that stretch.
The venue picture is where the preview becomes interesting. Sheffield United's home record reads one win, one draw and two defeats from four, with six conceded and only four scored. Lincoln City's away numbers push the other way: three wins from four on the road, scoring four and conceding just two. Both teams are described as allowing clearly more chances than they create in their respective home and away contexts, which hints at a cagey, medium-scoring game rather than an open one.
On balance, the hosts carry a slight edge given venue and signal, but the away form keeps this closely matched. A tight scoreline around 1:1 or 1:0 would fit the overall picture.
What matters before kick-off
Injury boost for Sheffield United
Sheffield United manager Chris Wilder confirmed that Harrison Burrows, Ryan Oné, Femi Seriki, and Sam McCallum have been working towards a return, with the club hopeful of having most of the quartet back available for the Lincoln City match.
Recent results before the international break
Both teams entered the international break following 2-1 defeats: Sheffield United lost away to Stoke City, while Lincoln City suffered a home loss against Swansea City.
Lincoln City's Championship return
Newly promoted Lincoln City headed into matchweek 9 sitting 12th in the Championship table with 11 points, having earned three away league victories so far this season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.