SC Telstar — FC Utrecht: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
34.0%
Home win
SC Telstar
X
24.8%
Draw
W2
41.2%
Away win
FC Utrecht
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.2%
Both teams to score
Yes67.1%
Totals 2.5
Over65.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.8% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 66.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.1% / 32.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.9% / 14.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.2% / 56.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.8% / 75.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
Goal distribution model
SC Telstar × FC Utrecht
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.5%
0:1
5.1%
0:2
5.4%
0:3
3.2%
0:4
1.4%
0:5
0.5%
1
1:0
4.5%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
8.6%
1:3
5.1%
1:4
2.2%
1:5
0.8%
2
2:0
4.4%
2:1
7.8%
2:2
6.9%
2:3
4.0%
2:4
1.8%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
2.3%
3:1
4.1%
3:2
3.7%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.9%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.9%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.8%
1:28.6%
2:17.8%
2:26.9%
0:25.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
SC Telstar
16th place · 6 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Go Ahead Eagles 2:3
- 17.10.2026 home Feyenoord 3:4
- 11.10.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 20.09.2026 away AZ Alkmaar 0:1
- 13.09.2026 away Heerenveen 0:0
FC Utrecht
13th place · 12 pts after 11Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Zwolle 1:1
- 18.10.2026 away Twente 2:1
- 11.10.2026 home Willem II 3:1
- 20.09.2026 away Feyenoord 0:5
- 13.09.2026 away Excelsior 2:1
This season: SC Telstar at home vs FC Utrecht away
| Metric | SC Telstar · at home | FC Utrecht · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–3 | 2–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| xG for per match | 1.78 | 1.50 |
| xG against per match | 2.28 | 1.76 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
SC Telstar wins0
Draws1
FC Utrecht wins1
Goals per match3.50
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
- 11.04.2026 FC Utrecht 4:1 SC Telstar
- 23.11.2025 SC Telstar 1:1 FC Utrecht
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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