PEC Zwolle — ADO Den Haag: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.1%
Home win
PEC Zwolle
X
25.5%
Draw
W2
32.4%
Away win
ADO Den Haag
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.5%
Both teams to score
Yes64.8%
Totals 2.5
Over62.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.6% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 57.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.8% / 35.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.2% / 15.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.1% / 59.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.2% / 77.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
Goal distribution model
PEC Zwolle × ADO Den Haag
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.2%
0:1
4.9%
0:2
4.5%
0:3
2.2%
0:4
0.8%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
5.8%
1:1
11.5%
1:2
7.7%
1:3
3.8%
1:4
1.4%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
6.0%
2:1
8.9%
2:2
6.6%
2:3
3.3%
2:4
1.2%
2:5
0.4%
3
3:0
3.4%
3:1
5.1%
3:2
3.8%
3:3
1.9%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.5%
4:1
2.2%
4:2
1.6%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.5%
2:18.9%
1:27.7%
2:26.6%
2:06.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
PEC Zwolle
15th place · 8 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Utrecht 1:1
- 18.10.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 4:1
- 11.10.2026 home Cambuur 0:1
- 18.09.2026 away Groningen 0:3
- 13.09.2026 home Feyenoord 0:7
ADO Den Haag
17th place · 6 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Heerenveen 2:3
- 17.10.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 2:1
- 11.10.2026 away Telstar 2:2
- 19.09.2026 home Cambuur 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Twente 0:2
This season: PEC Zwolle at home vs ADO Den Haag away
| Metric | PEC Zwolle · at home | ADO Den Haag · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–4 | 0–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| xG for per match | 1.11 | 0.79 |
| xG against per match | 2.08 | 2.33 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| Corners per match | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
PEC Zwolle wins2
Draws0
ADO Den Haag wins1
Goals per match2.33
Both teams scored1/3
Over 2.5 goals1/3
- 09.05.2021 PEC Zwolle 0:1 ADO Den Haag
- 23.12.2020 ADO Den Haag 0:2 PEC Zwolle
- 20.10.2019 PEC Zwolle 3:1 ADO Den Haag
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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