Racing Club Avellaneda — CA Aldosivi: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
62.1%
Home win
Racing Club Avellaneda
X
24.8%
Draw
W2
13.1%
Away win
CA Aldosivi
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X86.9%
Both teams to score
No55.0%
Totals 2.5
Under52.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.9% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 37.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.9% / 26.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.6% / 74.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Goal distribution model
Racing Club Avellaneda × CA Aldosivi
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.1%
0:1
4.3%
0:2
2.1%
0:3
0.5%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
12.7%
1:1
11.7%
1:2
3.8%
1:3
0.9%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
12.9%
2:1
9.5%
2:2
3.5%
2:3
0.8%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
7.9%
3:1
5.8%
3:2
2.1%
3:3
0.5%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
3.6%
4:1
2.6%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.3%
5:1
1.0%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.9%
1:012.7%
1:111.7%
2:19.5%
0:09.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away River Plate 0:1
- 18.10.2026 home Independiente 1:1
- 11.10.2026 home Belgrano 0:2
- 05.10.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 19.09.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Belgrano 1:0
- 18.10.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:2
- 09.10.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 1:3
- 04.10.2026 away Huracan 0:1
- 21.09.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 1:0
This season: Racing Club Avellaneda at home vs CA Aldosivi away
| Metric | Racing Club Avellaneda · at home | CA Aldosivi · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 4–5–6 | 0–2–13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.07 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 53% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Racing Club Avellaneda wins5
Draws1
CA Aldosivi wins0
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 19.04.2026 CA Aldosivi 1:1 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 17.10.2025 Racing Club Avellaneda 1:0 CA Aldosivi
- 14.04.2025 CA Aldosivi 0:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
- 26.06.2022 Racing Club Avellaneda 5:0 CA Aldosivi
- 10.05.2022 Racing Club Avellaneda 5:0 CA Aldosivi
- 27.07.2021 CA Aldosivi 0:2 Racing Club Avellaneda
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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