CA Sarmiento Junin — CA Rosario Central: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
25.3%
Home win
CA Sarmiento Junin
X
30.7%
Draw
W2
44.0%
Away win
CA Rosario Central
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X274.7%
Both teams to score
Yes52.2%
Totals 2.5
Under54.1%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.0% |
| 12 | 69.3% | |
| X2 | 74.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.7% / 10.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.3% / 95.7% |
Goal distribution model
CA Sarmiento Junin × CA Rosario Central
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.3%
0:1
9.6%
0:2
8.6%
0:3
4.2%
0:4
1.5%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
6.4%
1:1
14.7%
1:2
9.1%
1:3
4.4%
1:4
1.6%
1:5
0.5%
2
2:0
4.5%
2:1
6.6%
2:2
4.8%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
1.6%
3:1
2.3%
3:2
1.7%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.4%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.7%
0:010.3%
0:19.6%
1:29.1%
0:28.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
- 19.10.2026 home Barracas Central 1:1
- 14.10.2026 home River Plate 1:1
- 09.10.2026 away Aldosivi 3:1
- 19.09.2026 away Racing Club 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Huracan 2:0
- 18.10.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 3:2
- 11.10.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 5:0
- 06.10.2026 away Banfield 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 1:0
This season: CA Sarmiento Junin at home vs CA Rosario Central away
| Metric | CA Sarmiento Junin · at home | CA Rosario Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 16 |
| W–D–L | 8–4–3 | 8–4–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 56% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
CA Sarmiento Junin wins1
Draws0
CA Rosario Central wins5
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 20.04.2026 CA Rosario Central 2:1 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 24.10.2025 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:1 CA Rosario Central
- 23.02.2025 CA Rosario Central 1:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 20.07.2024 CA Rosario Central 4:2 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 03.03.2023 CA Sarmiento Junin 4:1 CA Rosario Central
- 09.07.2022 CA Rosario Central 1:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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