Match intelligence

CA Huracan — CA Tigre: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 45.2% Home win CA Huracan
X 32.0% Draw
W2 22.7% Away win CA Tigre
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X77.3%
Both teams to score
No58.1%
Totals 2.5
Under65.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X77.3%
1268.0%
X254.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No41.9% / 58.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 86.2% / 13.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 63.4% / 36.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 34.9% / 65.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 16.0% / 84.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.2% / 93.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.0% / 98.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Huracan × CA Tigre
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 13.8%
0:1 8.7%
0:2 4.2%
0:3 1.2%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 14.1%
1:1 14.4%
1:2 5.3%
1:3 1.5%
1:4 0.3%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 9.9%
2:1 8.2%
2:2 3.4%
2:3 0.9%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 4.2%
3:1 3.5%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.3%
4:1 1.1%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.4%
1:014.1%
0:013.8%
2:09.9%
0:18.7%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 25.10.2026 away Rosario Central 0:2
  • 16.10.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
  • 10.10.2026 away Barracas Central 0:2
  • 04.10.2026 home Aldosivi 1:0
  • 19.09.2026 away River Plate 2:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.10.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:1
  • 17.10.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 2:2
  • 10.10.2026 home Banfield 1:2
  • 04.10.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
  • 21.09.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 2:3

This season: CA Huracan at home vs CA Tigre away

Metric CA Huracan · at home CA Tigre · away
Matches1515
W–D–L7–4–42–6–7
Goals scored per match1.131.07
Goals conceded per match0.801.20
Over 2.5 goals47%47%
Both teams scored53%60%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Huracan wins2
Draws2
CA Tigre wins2
Goals per match1.67
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals0/6
  • 21.04.2026 CA Tigre 1:1 CA Huracan
  • 08.08.2025 CA Tigre 0:1 CA Huracan
  • 07.02.2025 CA Huracan 2:0 CA Tigre
  • 01.09.2024 CA Huracan 0:2 CA Tigre
  • 25.04.2023 CA Tigre 1:0 CA Huracan
  • 10.09.2022 CA Tigre 1:1 CA Huracan

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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