Estudiantes de La Plata — Instituto AC Cordoba: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
44.1%
Home win
Estudiantes de La Plata
X
32.0%
Draw
W2
23.9%
Away win
Instituto AC Cordoba
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X76.1%
Both teams to score
No55.4%
Totals 2.5
Under62.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.1% |
| 12 | 68.0% | |
| X2 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.6% / 55.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.0% / 13.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 66.0% / 34.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 37.4% / 62.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.4% / 97.6% |
Goal distribution model
Estudiantes de La Plata × Instituto AC Cordoba
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.0%
0:1
8.3%
0:2
4.5%
0:3
1.3%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
12.8%
1:1
14.7%
1:2
5.8%
1:3
1.7%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.4%
2:1
8.4%
2:2
3.7%
2:3
1.1%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
4.1%
3:1
3.6%
3:2
1.6%
3:3
0.5%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
1.3%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.7%
0:013.0%
1:012.8%
2:09.4%
2:18.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:3
- 18.10.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away Central Cordoba 2:2
- 05.10.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 3:0
- 22.09.2026 away Lanus 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.10.2026 home Dep. Riestra 1:0
- 16.10.2026 away Defensa y Justicia 1:0
- 09.10.2026 home Boca Juniors 2:2
- 02.10.2026 away Independiente 4:1
- 20.09.2026 home Talleres Cordoba 3:1
This season: Estudiantes de La Plata at home vs Instituto AC Cordoba away
| Metric | Estudiantes de La Plata · at home | Instituto AC Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 9–2–4 | 6–3–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 0.93 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 27% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
Estudiantes de La Plata wins2
Draws1
Instituto AC Cordoba wins0
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored1/3
Over 2.5 goals1/3
- 18.04.2026 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:1 Estudiantes de La Plata
- 20.10.2024 Estudiantes de La Plata 3:2 Instituto AC Cordoba
- 30.05.2023 Instituto AC Cordoba 0:0 Estudiantes de La Plata
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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