Paris Saint-Germain — SK Slovan Bratislava: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 99.1% |
| 12 | 97.2% | |
| X2 | 3.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 33.8% / 66.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 99.3% / 0.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 86.8% / 13.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 72.3% / 27.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 36.7% / 63.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 home Monaco 1:2
- 28.08.2026 away Lille 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Rennes 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Paris FC 1:2
- 13.05.2026 away Lens 2:0
SK Slovan Bratislava
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 11.08.2026 home Mjallby AIF 2:0
- 04.08.2026 away Mjallby AIF 2:1
- 29.07.2026 home FC Iberia 1999 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Paris Saint-Germain enter this UEFA Champions League fixture as the clearly stronger side against SK Slovan Bratislava. The available assessment gives the hosts a strong advantage and points towards an assertive attacking performance. The scoring outlook is high, suggesting that Paris Saint-Germain should create sustained pressure and produce several dangerous situations in the final third.
SK Slovan Bratislava face a difficult defensive task, particularly if Paris Saint-Germain establish control early. The same assessment makes a clean sheet likely for the hosts, indicating that the visitors may struggle to turn their opportunities into goals. The most likely scorelines are 4:0, 5:0 and 3:0, all reflecting a match in which Paris Saint-Germain combine attacking output with defensive control. While the exact margin will depend on how efficiently the hosts convert their chances, the overall picture is firmly in favour of Paris Saint-Germain.
What matters before kick-off
Head-to-head History
Paris Saint-Germain previously faced Slovan Bratislava twice during the 2011–12 UEFA Europa League group stage, recording a 1–0 home win and a 0–0 draw in Slovakia.
Historic Milestone for Slovan Manager
Slovan Bratislava manager Yaya Touré became the first African manager to successfully navigate through the qualifying rounds and reach the UEFA Champions League proper.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.