FC Barcelona — Feyenoord Rotterdam: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 97.5% |
| 12 | 94.7% | |
| X2 | 7.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 99.2% / 0.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 95.0% / 5.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 85.4% / 14.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 70.0% / 30.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 34.1% / 65.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Valencia 5:0
- 31.08.2026 home Vallecano 5:2
- 27.08.2026 home Ath Bilbao 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Elche 5:0
- 23.05.2026 away Valencia 1:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Nijmegen 3:1
- 30.08.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
- 16.08.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
- 09.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Barcelona enter this UEFA Champions League fixture as the clearly stronger side, with a high-confidence assessment favouring the hosts. Feyenoord Rotterdam face a demanding task against a team whose attacking outlook points toward an open, high-scoring contest. The available signals suggest that FC Barcelona should control much of the match and create the greater share of dangerous opportunities.
Even with the home side holding a clear advantage, Feyenoord Rotterdam remain involved in an uncertain scoring scenario. Both teams scoring is described as a coin flip, so the main expectation is for FC Barcelona to impose their quality rather than for a definite pattern in the visitors’ attacking contribution. The overall reading supports a strong home performance, while the exact margin and whether Feyenoord Rotterdam find the net remain less certain. Kickoff is scheduled for 9 September 2026 at 16:45 UTC.
What matters before kick-off
FC Barcelona Squad News
FC Barcelona defender Eric Garcia is suspended for the match against Feyenoord, while midfielder Gavi has returned to full squad training.
Feyenoord Injury Absentees
Feyenoord face FC Barcelona with several squad members sidelined due to injury, including Jakub Moder, Jordan Bos, Gijs Smal, Bart Nieuwkoop, and Thomas Beelen.
Head-to-Head History
FC Barcelona and Feyenoord have only met twice before in official European competition, during the second round of the 1974–75 European Cup.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.