Newell's Old Boys — CA Central Cordoba SE: Win probabilities, 19.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
48.2%
Home win
Newell's Old Boys
X
30.4%
Draw
W2
21.4%
Away win
CA Central Cordoba SE
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X78.6%
Both teams to score
No54.0%
Totals 2.5
Under59.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.6% |
| 12 | 69.6% | |
| X2 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.3% / 11.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 68.7% / 31.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 40.5% / 59.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 20.1% / 79.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.4% / 91.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.0% / 97.0% |
Goal distribution model
Newell's Old Boys × CA Central Cordoba SE
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.7%
0:1
7.0%
0:2
3.8%
0:3
1.1%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
12.6%
1:1
14.2%
1:2
5.5%
1:3
1.6%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.2%
2:1
8.9%
2:2
3.9%
2:3
1.1%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
4.8%
3:1
4.2%
3:2
1.9%
3:3
0.5%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
1.7%
4:1
1.5%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.2%
1:012.6%
0:011.7%
2:010.2%
2:18.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.10.2026 home Lanus 0:0
- 20.09.2026 away Platense 1:0
- 11.09.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Rosario Central 1:1
- 31.08.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.10.2026 away Dep. Riestra 1:1
- 18.09.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:3
- 06.09.2026 home Independiente 0:1
- 30.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:0
This season: Newell's Old Boys at home vs CA Central Cordoba SE away
| Metric | Newell's Old Boys · at home | CA Central Cordoba SE · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 4–7–3 | 1–5–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 36% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Newell's Old Boys wins3
Draws1
CA Central Cordoba SE wins2
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 06.04.2026 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:3 Newell's Old Boys
- 09.08.2025 Newell's Old Boys 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 07.02.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:0 Newell's Old Boys
- 20.11.2024 Newell's Old Boys 2:3 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 26.01.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:1 Newell's Old Boys
- 22.08.2023 Newell's Old Boys 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.83 → now 2.00 |
| X | was 3.20 → now 3.10 |
| W2 | was 5.00 → now 4.33 |
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