CA Belgrano de Cordoba — CA River Plate (ARG): Win probabilities, 18.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
26.7%
Home win
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
X
30.6%
Draw
W2
42.7%
Away win
CA River Plate (ARG)
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X273.3%
Both teams to score
No51.5%
Totals 2.5
Under58.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 57.3% |
| 12 | 69.4% | |
| X2 | 73.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.9% / 11.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.6% / 30.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.1% / 78.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.0% / 91.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.3% / 96.7% |
Goal distribution model
CA Belgrano de Cordoba × CA River Plate (ARG)
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.1%
0:1
11.3%
0:2
8.6%
0:3
3.8%
0:4
1.3%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
8.1%
1:1
14.4%
1:2
8.6%
1:3
3.9%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
4.9%
2:1
6.5%
2:2
4.4%
2:3
2.0%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
1.6%
3:1
2.2%
3:2
1.5%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.4%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.4%
0:111.3%
0:011.1%
1:28.6%
0:28.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.10.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 1:0
- 20.09.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:1
- 04.09.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Huracan 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 3:1
- 30.08.2026 away Banfield 3:2
- 23.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 2:2
This season: CA Belgrano de Cordoba at home vs CA River Plate (ARG) away
| Metric | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · at home | CA River Plate (ARG) · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 8–3–4 | 6–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.40 | 1.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
CA Belgrano de Cordoba wins2
Draws1
CA River Plate (ARG) wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals5/6
- 24.05.2026 CA River Plate (ARG) 2:3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 05.04.2026 CA River Plate (ARG) 3:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 18.05.2024 CA River Plate (ARG) 3:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 03.12.2023 CA River Plate (ARG) 2:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 04.02.2023 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2:1 CA River Plate (ARG)
- 19.08.2018 CA River Plate (ARG) 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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