Kocaelispor — Gaziantep FK: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.9% |
| 12 | 67.7% | |
| X2 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.4% / 11.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.8% / 29.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.3% / 57.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.5% / 78.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.2% / 90.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.4% / 96.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Kocaelispor
6th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Galatasaray 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Samsunspor 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Konyaspor 2:1
- 24.08.2026 home Amedspor 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Buyuksehyr 0:2
Gaziantep FK
7th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.09.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:0
- 07.09.2026 away Goztep 4:2
- 29.08.2026 home Rizespor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 away Eyupspor 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:1
This season: Kocaelispor at home vs Gaziantep FK away
| Metric | Kocaelispor · at home | Gaziantep FK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.45 | 1.20 |
| xG against per match | 1.17 | 1.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 15.02.2026 Kocaelispor 3:0 Gaziantep FK
- 14.09.2025 Gaziantep FK 2:0 Kocaelispor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Kocaelispor host Gaziantep FK in a Super Lig meeting that looks evenly matched. The moderate confidence level points to a contest where neither side has a clear overall advantage, with the home setting providing Kocaelispor a slight basis for a more positive outlook. The available signal leans toward Kocaelispor avoiding defeat, but the balance between the teams remains close.
The match is assessed as medium-scoring, although the likelihood of both teams finding the net is difficult to separate from the alternative. That uncertainty leaves several plausible game patterns: a controlled draw such as 0:0, an open 1:1, or a narrow 1:0 result for Kocaelispor. Gaziantep FK should remain competitive if the game stays tight, while Kocaelispor may look to use home advantage to create the marginal difference. Overall, this points to a cautious match in which small moments could carry considerable weight.
What matters before kick-off
Süper Lig matchday 6 fixture
Kocaelispor host Gaziantep FK at the Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium in matchday 6 of the Süper Lig, with referee Halil Umut Meler assigned to officiate the match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.