Corum FK — Alanyaspor: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.9% |
| 12 | 71.3% | |
| X2 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.9% / 9.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Corum FK
10th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Samsunspor 5:1
- 06.09.2026 home Eyupspor 3:0
- 31.08.2026 away Besiktas 2:6
- 22.08.2026 home Kasimpasa 0:1
- 14.08.2026 away Galatasaray 2:2
Alanyaspor
8th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Goztep 2:2
- 07.09.2026 away Rizespor 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away Eyupspor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Besiktas 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Gaziantep 1:1
This season: Corum FK at home vs Alanyaspor away
| Metric | Corum FK · at home | Alanyaspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.84 | 1.32 |
| xG against per match | 0.52 | 1.35 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.50 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 67% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Corum FK have a slight edge over Alanyaspor in this Super Lig meeting, although the balance remains relatively close. The available assessment points toward a competitive match in which Corum FK are marginally better placed, rather than a fixture with a clear separation between the teams. That advantage gives the hosts the stronger overall outlook, but Alanyaspor remain capable of making the contest difficult.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring, with neither a heavily defensive nor an especially open game indicated. Both teams scoring is considered an evenly balanced possibility, so the match could develop in more than one direction. A draw such as 1:1 sits among the likely scorelines, while narrow home wins of 1:0 or 2:1 also fit the assessment. Overall, Corum FK hold the more favorable position, but the closeness of the matchup leaves limited room for certainty.
What matters before kick-off
Corum FK secured a emphatic win in round 5
Corum FK earned a 5-1 away victory against Samsunspor in matchday 5 of the Super Lig.
Alanyaspor drew in their previous league match
Alanyaspor played out a 2-2 home draw against Goztepe in matchday 5 of the Super Lig.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.