Kasimpasa Istanbul — Konyaspor: Win probabilities, 18.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.2% |
| 12 | 70.3% | |
| X2 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.1% / 25.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.5% / 74.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 18.09.2026
Kasimpasa Istanbul
4th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Genclerbirligi 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Amedspor 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Buyuksehyr 1:1
- 22.08.2026 away Corum 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:1
Konyaspor
16th place · 3 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:0
- 05.09.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:4
- 15.08.2026 home Rizespor 0:1
This season: Kasimpasa Istanbul at home vs Konyaspor away
| Metric | Kasimpasa Istanbul · at home | Konyaspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.45 | 1.80 |
| xG against per match | 0.99 | 1.67 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.03.2026 Konyaspor 1:1 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 05.10.2025 Kasimpasa Istanbul 1:1 Konyaspor
- 19.01.2025 Konyaspor 3:3 Kasimpasa Istanbul
- 10.08.2024 Kasimpasa Istanbul 2:3 Konyaspor
- 13.04.2024 Kasimpasa Istanbul 0:2 Konyaspor
- 25.11.2023 Konyaspor 2:0 Kasimpasa Istanbul
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Kasimpasa Istanbul and Konyaspor appear evenly matched ahead of their Super Lig meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight edge in the result market, but confidence is moderate rather than strong. That points to a contest in which neither side has a clearly defined advantage, with the balance likely to depend on how effectively each team manages the key phases of the match.
The scoring outlook is medium, while the expectation of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. A cautious opening would therefore be plausible, especially if both sides prioritise defensive organisation before committing numbers forward. The main scoreline possibilities are 1:1, 1:0, and 0:0, reflecting a match that could remain close throughout. Kasimpasa Istanbul may have marginal home-field value, but Konyaspor remain well placed to keep the game competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Kasımpaşa secured a win over Gençlerbirliği
Kasımpaşa enter the match following a 2–1 victory against Gençlerbirliği on September 13, 2026, in Round 5 of the Süper Lig. The Istanbul side clinched the three points with a stoppage-time goal.
Konyaspor earned their first victory of the season
Konyaspor defeated Trabzonspor 1–0 on September 12, 2026, in the 5th round of the Süper Lig. The result marked the team's first points of the current league campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.