Instituto AC Cordoba — Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: Win probabilities, 15.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.4% |
| 12 | 75.9% | |
| X2 | 32.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 30.4% / 69.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.5% / 12.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 36.2% / 63.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 17.0% / 83.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.6% / 93.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.2% / 97.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.09.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:3
- 01.09.2026 home San Lorenzo 1:0
- 22.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 17.08.2026 away Central Cordoba 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Huracan 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 0:0
- 17.08.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 0:1
- 08.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:2
This season: Instituto AC Cordoba at home vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto away
| Metric | Instituto AC Cordoba · at home | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–3 | 0–2–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 0.27 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 27% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 05.05.2026 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0:2 Instituto AC Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Instituto AC Cordoba enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a clear qualitative advantage over Estudiantes Rio Cuarto, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the matchup should be approached with some caution. The hosts are expected to control more of the game and create the stronger overall platform, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto may need to remain compact and rely on disciplined defensive work.
The scoring outlook points to a controlled, medium-scoring contest rather than an open exchange. A clean sheet is considered likely, which supports scenarios in which Instituto AC Cordoba win without conceding, with narrow home victories the most plausible shape of the match. A goalless draw also remains within the range of reasonable outcomes if the visitors successfully limit the hosts' opportunities. Overall, the balance favors Instituto AC Cordoba, but the expected margin appears more likely to be modest than decisive.
What matters before kick-off
Instituto's recent run
Instituto enter matchday 9 of the 2026 Torneo Clausura following a 3-2 defeat away to Unión de Santa Fe, which ended a five-match unbeaten run of four wins and one draw.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's recent form
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto enter the match following a 2-0 loss to Sarmiento, extending their winless streak in the tournament to seven games with four losses and three draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.