Deportivo Riestra AFBC — CA Lanus: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.8% |
| 12 | 65.6% | |
| X2 | 71.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.8% / 16.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.8% / 70.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.7% / 87.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 away Platense 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:2
- 08.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Boca Juniors 0:1
- 25.08.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 1:1
- 17.08.2026 home Independiente 1:3
- 12.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 3:0
This season: Deportivo Riestra AFBC at home vs CA Lanus away
| Metric | Deportivo Riestra AFBC · at home | CA Lanus · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–6–3 | 3–2–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 02.05.2026 CA Lanus 0:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 14.07.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:0 CA Lanus
- 24.01.2025 CA Lanus 0:2 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
- 09.08.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 3:1 CA Lanus
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Deportivo Riestra AFBC and CA Lanus meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura in a contest that projects as closely balanced. The assessment points to the teams being evenly matched, with neither side carrying a clear overall advantage. That makes control of the opening phases and patience in possession particularly important, as the match may be decided by small moments rather than sustained dominance.
The expected profile is low-scoring, with limited space for either attack to create a steady flow of chances. A clean sheet is considered likely, keeping a goalless draw among the plausible scenarios, while a narrow result for CA Lanus also fits the overall picture. The main analytical theme is therefore caution: Deportivo Riestra AFBC will look to protect its structure, while CA Lanus has a slight practical edge in the outcome range without making the match one-sided.
What matters before kick-off
Clausura 2026 Round 9 fixture
Deportivo Riestra hosts CA Lanús on September 14, 2026, at Estadio Guillermo Laza for round 9 of Zone A in Torneo Clausura. Both clubs confirmed their official matchday squad lists ahead of the game.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.