CA Banfield — CA Barracas Central: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.3% |
| 12 | 63.9% | |
| X2 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.5% / 15.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 65.1% / 34.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.1% / 83.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.0% / 98.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Aldosivi 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home River Plate 2:3
- 23.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:2
- 15.08.2026 away Racing Club 1:0
- 10.08.2026 home Belgrano 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.09.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 0:0
- 01.09.2026 away Tigre 0:0
- 23.08.2026 home Platense 1:2
- 17.08.2026 home Rosario Central 0:1
- 09.08.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 0:2
This season: CA Banfield at home vs CA Barracas Central away
| Metric | CA Banfield · at home | CA Barracas Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 5–2–4 | 4–5–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 CA Barracas Central 1:2 CA Banfield
- 29.07.2025 CA Banfield 1:3 CA Barracas Central
- 01.02.2025 CA Barracas Central 1:0 CA Banfield
- 16.09.2024 CA Barracas Central 0:1 CA Banfield
- 14.02.2024 CA Banfield 0:0 CA Barracas Central
- 20.09.2023 CA Barracas Central 1:0 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Banfield and CA Barracas Central look evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available signals point to a cautious contest in which neither side holds a clear overall advantage. The moderate confidence in this assessment suggests that the balance between the teams should be treated as meaningful, but not definitive.
A low-scoring match is the strongest theme, with limited room likely to separate the sides. Both teams scoring is difficult to assess and remains finely balanced, so the game could develop into a tight exchange or a more subdued encounter. The most plausible scorelines reflect that uncertainty, with a draw particularly consistent with the broader picture. CA Banfield may have a slight advantage from playing at home, but CA Barracas Central appear capable of keeping the match close. The central expectation is therefore a disciplined, competitive game where small moments could determine whether it ends level or with a narrow home win.
What matters before kick-off
Matchday 9 of 2026 Torneo Clausura
CA Banfield host CA Barracas Central at Estadio Florencio Sola in Matchday 9 of Zone B in the 2026 Torneo Clausura.
Banfield's recent form
Banfield enter the match following a 3-1 league loss to Aldosivi, though they recently reached the Copa Argentina semi-finals by defeating Deportivo Riestra on penalties.
Barracas Central's recent form
Barracas Central head into this fixture following a 0-0 draw against Argentinos Juniors in the previous round, accumulating 11 points in Zone B.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.