Independiente Rivadavia — CA Huracan: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.3% |
| 12 | 69.6% | |
| X2 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 31.8% / 68.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.8% / 16.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 3.9% / 96.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.1% / 98.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.07.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:2
- 03.05.2026 away Aldosivi 1:1
- 26.04.2026 home Gimnasia Mendoza 5:1
- 20.04.2026 away Banfield 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.07.2026 home Banfield 1:0
- 13.05.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:0
- 09.05.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:1
- 03.05.2026 away Racing Club 0:0
- 28.04.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 1:2
This season: Independiente Rivadavia at home vs CA Huracan away
| Metric | Independiente Rivadavia · at home | CA Huracan · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 6–1–3 | 1–8–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 27.01.2026 CA Huracan 1:2 Independiente Rivadavia
- 28.09.2025 Independiente Rivadavia 0:0 CA Huracan
- 16.03.2025 CA Huracan 2:0 Independiente Rivadavia
- 15.06.2024 CA Huracan 1:0 Independiente Rivadavia
- 04.02.2024 Independiente Rivadavia 2:0 CA Huracan
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Independiente Rivadavia welcome CA Huracan in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the hosts carrying a clear but narrow advantage in the pre-match assessment. The expected pattern is cautious rather than open, with both sides likely to prioritise defensive structure and avoid taking unnecessary risks early. That points towards a match decided by small details, particularly in a game where chances may be limited.
Independiente Rivadavia are favoured to avoid defeat, while CA Huracan may look to keep the contest compact and frustrate the home side. A clean sheet appears more likely than an exchange of goals, making a low-scoring outcome the central expectation. The most plausible scorelines are 1-0, 0-0, and 1-1, which reflects the narrow margin between the teams despite the hosts holding the stronger position.
What matters before kick-off
Independiente Rivadavia started Clausura with a draw
Independiente Rivadavia played out a 0-0 draw against Atlético Tucumán in their opening fixture of the Torneo Clausura.
CA Huracán began Clausura with a win
CA Huracán opened their Clausura campaign with a 1-0 home victory against Banfield, thanks to a goal from Ecuadorian forward Jordy Caicedo.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.