CA Talleres de Cordoba — Velez Sarsfield: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.2% |
| 12 | 65.9% | |
| X2 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.9% / 60.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.3% / 15.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 30.7% / 69.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.8% / 95.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.5% / 98.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.07.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.07.2026 away Newells Old Boys 0:1
- 09.05.2026 home Belgrano 0:1
- 02.05.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:1
- 25.04.2026 away Estudiantes L.P. 0:0
- 20.04.2026 home Dep. Riestra 2:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.07.2026 home Instituto 1:0
- 11.05.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 0:1
- 04.05.2026 home Newells Old Boys 1:1
- 27.04.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:2
- 20.04.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:0
This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs Velez Sarsfield away
| Metric | CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home | Velez Sarsfield · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| W–D–L | 4–1–3 | 3–4–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 27.01.2026 Velez Sarsfield 2:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 01.11.2025 Velez Sarsfield 0:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 18.04.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:1 Velez Sarsfield
- 22.07.2024 Velez Sarsfield 3:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 31.03.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 1:0 Velez Sarsfield
- 05.11.2023 Velez Sarsfield 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Talleres de Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight protective edge, but the gap between the teams is limited and the draw remains a substantial possibility. That points to a contest likely to be decided by small margins rather than sustained dominance from either side.
The scoring outlook is low, with 1:1, 0:0 and 1:0 identified as the most plausible scorelines. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate from the alternative, so neither side has a clear attacking advantage in the forecast. CA Talleres de Cordoba may have a modest benefit from playing at home, yet Velez Sarsfield remain well placed to keep the game close. A controlled opening and a cautious tactical approach would be consistent with the overall profile, leaving the result finely balanced until the later stages.
What matters before kick-off
Talleres squad updates
Talleres defender Román Riquelme miss the match against Vélez Sarsfield following his red card in the previous fixture, while Bruno Barticciotto returns to the matchday squad.
Clausura opening round results
In the opening fixture of the Clausura tournament, Talleres suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Newell's Old Boys, while Vélez Sarsfield earned a 1-0 win against Instituto.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.