Match intelligence

CA Central Cordoba SE — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 31.07.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
CA Central Cordoba SE0
:
2Atletico Tucuman
Locked signal X2 Probability 70.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 29.2% Home win CA Central Cordoba SE
X 31.2% Draw
W2 39.6% Away win Atletico Tucuman
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X272.3%
Both teams to score
No51.0%
Totals 2.5
Under58.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X59.2%
1268.4%
X272.3%
Both teams to scoreYes/No49.0% / 51.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 88.5% / 11.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 69.9% / 30.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 41.6% / 58.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 21.0% / 79.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.9% / 91.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.2% / 96.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Central Cordoba SE × Atletico Tucuman
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.5%
0:1 10.6%
0:2 8.2%
0:3 3.6%
0:4 1.2%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 8.0%
1:1 14.9%
1:2 8.5%
1:3 3.7%
1:4 1.2%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 5.2%
2:1 6.8%
2:2 4.4%
2:3 1.9%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 1.8%
3:1 2.3%
3:2 1.5%
3:3 0.7%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.5%
4:1 0.6%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.9%
0:011.5%
0:110.6%
1:28.5%
0:28.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 31.07.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 24.07.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:1
  • 02.05.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:2
  • 24.04.2026 away Lanus 0:0
  • 20.04.2026 home Platense 4:3
  • 14.04.2026 away Velez Sarsfield 0:1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 26.07.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 0:0
  • 03.05.2026 away River Plate 1:0
  • 27.04.2026 home Banfield 1:1
  • 19.04.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 0:1
  • 12.04.2026 home Tigre 0:0

This season: CA Central Cordoba SE at home vs Atletico Tucuman away

Metric CA Central Cordoba SE · at home Atletico Tucuman · away
Matches88
W–D–L4–1–31–0–7
Goals scored per match1.250.88
Goals conceded per match1.131.75
Over 2.5 goals38%75%
Both teams scored38%75%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Central Cordoba SE wins1
Draws4
Atletico Tucuman wins1
Goals per match1.00
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals0/6
  • 28.01.2026 Atletico Tucuman 0:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 19.07.2025 Atletico Tucuman 1:1 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 31.01.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:0 Atletico Tucuman
  • 17.12.2024 Atletico Tucuman 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 27.02.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:0 Atletico Tucuman
  • 03.10.2023 Atletico Tucuman 0:0 CA Central Cordoba SE

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Central Cordoba SE and Atletico Tucuman appear evenly matched ahead of this Primera LPF Clausura fixture. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence rather than a strong advantage for either side, making the result difficult to separate on pre-match information alone. Atletico Tucuman may have a slight practical edge in the broader double-chance view, but a draw remains a credible outcome.

The game is expected to be low-scoring, with limited room for either attack to establish clear control. The possibility of both teams finding the net is finely balanced, so neither scoring pattern stands out as particularly reliable. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 0-1, and 0-0, all of which reflect a match likely to be decided by small details rather than sustained dominance.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

New head coach for Central Cordoba

Sebastián Domínguez was officially appointed as Central Córdoba's new head coach ahead of their Torneo Clausura matchday 2 fixture against Atlético Tucumán.

Schedule

Recent round 1 results

In matchday 1 of the Torneo Clausura, Central Córdoba lost 1-0 away against Gimnasia de Mendoza, while Atlético Tucumán played out a 0-0 home draw against Independiente Rivadavia.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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