Match intelligence

CA Central Cordoba SE — Atletico Tucuman: Win probabilities, 31.07.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
X1 29.1% Home win CA Central Cordoba SE
X 30.5% Draw
X2 40.4% Away win Atletico Tucuman
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X270.9%
Both teams to score
No53.6%
Totals 2.5
Under60.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X59.6%
1269.5%
X270.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No46.4% / 53.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 88.5% / 11.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 67.0% / 33.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 39.3% / 60.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 19.2% / 80.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 7.9% / 92.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.8% / 97.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Central Cordoba SE × Atletico Tucuman
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.5%
0:1 11.9%
0:2 8.1%
0:3 3.3%
0:4 1.0%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 9.6%
1:1 14.2%
1:2 8.2%
1:3 3.4%
1:4 1.1%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 5.4%
2:1 6.7%
2:2 4.2%
2:3 1.7%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 1.8%
3:1 2.3%
3:2 1.4%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.5%
4:1 0.6%
4:2 0.4%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.1%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.2%
0:111.9%
0:011.5%
1:09.6%
1:28.2%
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Central Cordoba SE and Atletico Tucuman appear evenly matched ahead of this Primera LPF Clausura fixture. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence rather than a strong advantage for either side, making the result difficult to separate on pre-match information alone. Atletico Tucuman may have a slight practical edge in the broader double-chance view, but a draw remains a credible outcome.

The game is expected to be low-scoring, with limited room for either attack to establish clear control. The possibility of both teams finding the net is finely balanced, so neither scoring pattern stands out as particularly reliable. The most plausible scorelines include 1-1, 0-1, and 0-0, all of which reflect a match likely to be decided by small details rather than sustained dominance.

Other matches

→ Primera LPF, Clausura

About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling