Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 11.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.0% |
| 12 | 70.2% | |
| X2 | 66.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.1% / 49.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.9% / 10.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 70.5% / 29.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 22.4% / 77.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.7% / 90.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.6% / 96.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.10.2026
Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
18th place · 30 pts after 29Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 away Remo 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home Palmeiras 0:0
- 16.09.2026 away Botafogo RJ 2:3
- 12.09.2026 home Vasco 1:2
- 08.09.2026 away Vitoria 0:1
SC Internacional RS
17th place · 31 pts after 29Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.10.2026 home Corinthians 2:1
- 20.09.2026 away Sao Paulo 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 2:1
- 06.09.2026 home Santos 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Bahia 2:3
This season: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS at home vs SC Internacional RS away
| Metric | Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS · at home | SC Internacional RS · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 7–4–3 | 3–5–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.57 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 57% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.04.2026 SC Internacional RS 0:0 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
- 21.09.2025 SC Internacional RS 2:3 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
- 20.04.2025 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1:1 SC Internacional RS
- 19.10.2024 SC Internacional RS 1:0 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
- 22.06.2024 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0:1 SC Internacional RS
- 08.10.2023 SC Internacional RS 3:2 Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
meet in Brasileiro Serie A on October 11 in a fixture that looks closely balanced. Neither side holds a clear overall advantage based on the available assessment, making the contest difficult to separate. The hosts will look to make the most of their home setting, while SC Internacional RS have a reasonable basis for approaching the match with confidence. The overall outlook points towards a competitive encounter in which small differences could prove decisive.
A moderate-confidence assessment suggests a medium-scoring game, with a draw among the plausible outcomes. A 1-1 scoreline fits the expectation of an evenly contested match, while a narrow away win remains another possibility. A goalless draw is also within the range of likely scenarios, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding how the teams will convert their opportunities. Both teams scoring is difficult to call, with neither outcome standing out strongly. Overall, the balance of the assessment gives SC Internacional RS a slight edge in avoiding defeat, but Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS remain capable of making the contest competitive throughout.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.