Coritiba FC PR — Botafogo FR RJ: Win probabilities, 12.10.2026
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✓ Prediction hit
Final result
Coritiba FC PR1
:
1Botafogo FR RJ
Locked signal X2
Probability 65.3%
Verdict Hit
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
34.7%
Home win
Coritiba FC PR
X
27.8%
Draw
W2
37.5%
Away win
Botafogo FR RJ
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1273.0%
Both teams to score
Yes65.0%
Totals 2.5
Over61.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.7% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.0% / 35.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.3% / 15.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.5% / 38.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.2% / 60.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.5% / 78.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
Goal distribution model
Coritiba FC PR × Botafogo FR RJ
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.9%
0:1
5.1%
0:2
5.6%
0:3
3.0%
0:4
1.2%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
4.7%
1:1
12.3%
1:2
8.6%
1:3
4.7%
1:4
1.9%
1:5
0.6%
2
2:0
5.0%
2:1
8.1%
2:2
6.6%
2:3
3.6%
2:4
1.5%
2:5
0.5%
3
3:0
2.6%
3:1
4.2%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.9%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.0%
4:1
1.6%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.3%
1:28.6%
2:18.1%
2:26.6%
0:05.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.10.2026
Coritiba FC PR
9th place · 38 pts after 29Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.10.2026 away Fluminense 0:4
- 20.09.2026 away Vasco 0:5
- 12.09.2026 home Athletico-PR 3:3
- 06.09.2026 home Mirassol 1:2
- 01.09.2026 away Remo 3:2
Botafogo FR RJ
13th place · 35 pts after 29Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.10.2026 home Vasco 1:2
- 19.09.2026 away Mirassol 0:2
- 16.09.2026 home Gremio 3:2
- 13.09.2026 home Bragantino 1:1
- 06.09.2026 home Palmeiras 0:0
This season: Coritiba FC PR at home vs Botafogo FR RJ away
| Metric | Coritiba FC PR · at home | Botafogo FR RJ · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 14 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 5–4–5 | 4–2–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.36 | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Coritiba FC PR wins1
Draws2
Botafogo FR RJ wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 12.04.2026 Botafogo FR RJ 2:2 Coritiba FC PR
- 30.11.2023 Coritiba FC PR 1:1 Botafogo FR RJ
- 30.07.2023 Botafogo FR RJ 4:1 Coritiba FC PR
- 17.09.2022 Botafogo FR RJ 2:0 Coritiba FC PR
- 29.05.2022 Coritiba FC PR 1:0 Botafogo FR RJ
- 20.12.2020 Coritiba FC PR 1:2 Botafogo FR RJ
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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