Goztepe Izmir — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.2% |
| 12 | 73.2% | |
| X2 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.7% / 39.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.4% / 61.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.8% / 79.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.35 → now 2.50 |
| W2 | was 2.80 → now 2.60 |
Match preview
Goztepe Izmir and Caykur Rizespor meet in the Super Lig on 20 September 2026 in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives the hosts no decisive advantage, with only moderate confidence in the overall reading. That points toward a match where both sides have a realistic chance of shaping the result rather than one team controlling the outlook from the outset.
The game is expected to produce a medium-scoring pattern, and both teams are likely to find the net. A draw is a credible possibility, while a narrow win for either side also fits the balance of the matchup. The most representative scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:2, reflecting a close contest with limited separation between Goztepe Izmir and Caykur Rizespor.
What matters before kick-off
Göztepe squad availability
Göztepe are set to be without injured central defenders Furkan Bayır, Sonko Sundberg, and Allan Godoi. Right-back Ogün Bayrak is unavailable due to suspension.
Göztepe complete match preparation
Göztepe completed their training session for the Süper Lig round 6 fixture against Çaykur Rizespor under head coach Stanimir Stoilov.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.