Amed Sportif Faaliyetler — Besiktas Istanbul: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.0% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.6% / 16.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.3% / 78.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W1 | was 4.00 → now 3.60 |
| W2 | was 1.80 → now 1.90 |
Match preview
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler will face Besiktas Istanbul in the Super Lig on 20 September 2026. The assessment points to a slight edge for the visitors, with high confidence in that direction, although the projected result does not remove the possibility of a competitive match. The main outcome signal is X2, indicating that Besiktas Istanbul are favoured to avoid defeat.
The scoring outlook suggests an open game, with both teams likely to find the net. The most prominent scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2, which reflect a balance between a possible draw and a narrow away victory. A 1:1 result remains a credible scenario, while the other projected scores give Besiktas Istanbul the stronger attacking outcome. Amed Sportif Faaliyetler therefore have a realistic chance of scoring, but the overall assessment gives Besiktas Istanbul the clearer edge.
What matters before kick-off
Amedspor injury update
Amedspor forward Yira Sor will miss the match due to a hamstring injury. He is expected to be sidelined for at least a month.
Besiktas recent results
Besiktas enter the fixture on a four-game winning streak across all competitions. They earned a 3-0 Super Lig win over Erzurumspor and defeated Marseille 4-1 in the UEFA Europa League in recent outings.
First Super Lig encounter
This match marks the first-ever Super Lig meeting between Amedspor and Besiktas. The two clubs last met in the Turkish Cup during the 2007-08 season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.