Genclerbirligi SK — Alanyaspor: Win probabilities, 02.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
34.3%
Home win
Genclerbirligi SK
X
28.5%
Draw
W2
37.2%
Away win
Alanyaspor
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.5%
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
Totals 2.5
Under52.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.8% |
| 12 | 71.5% | |
| X2 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.9% / 74.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Goal distribution model
Genclerbirligi SK × Alanyaspor
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.6%
0:1
9.0%
0:2
6.6%
0:3
2.9%
0:4
1.0%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
8.6%
1:1
13.6%
1:2
8.3%
1:3
3.7%
1:4
1.2%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.0%
2:1
7.9%
2:2
5.2%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.5%
3:1
3.3%
3:2
2.2%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.8%
4:1
1.0%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.6%
0:19.0%
0:08.6%
1:08.6%
1:28.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.11.2026
Genclerbirligi SK
16th place · 8 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Konyaspor 0:2
- 17.10.2026 home Galatasaray 0:1
- 10.10.2026 home Amedspor 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Buyuksehyr 0:4
- 13.09.2026 home Kasimpasa 1:2
Alanyaspor
11th place · 12 pts after 9Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:2
- 17.10.2026 away Fenerbahce 0:3
- 10.10.2026 home Erzurumspor 0:0
- 19.09.2026 away Corum 2:1
- 12.09.2026 home Goztep 2:2
This season: Genclerbirligi SK at home vs Alanyaspor away
| Metric | Genclerbirligi SK · at home | Alanyaspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 1–2–2 | 2–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xG for per match | 1.07 | 1.22 |
| xG against per match | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| Corners per match | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Genclerbirligi SK wins3
Draws3
Alanyaspor wins0
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 09.03.2026 Alanyaspor 0:0 Genclerbirligi SK
- 04.10.2025 Genclerbirligi SK 2:2 Alanyaspor
- 04.04.2021 Alanyaspor 1:2 Genclerbirligi SK
- 05.12.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 2:1 Alanyaspor
- 16.02.2020 Alanyaspor 0:1 Genclerbirligi SK
- 22.09.2019 Genclerbirligi SK 1:1 Alanyaspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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