FK Borac Banja Luka — Maxline Vitebsk: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.6% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.2% / 24.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FK Borac Banja Luka have a slight edge over Maxline Vitebsk in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie, although the low confidence level points to a closely balanced contest rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment gives the hosts the stronger position, but the margin is limited and the match may turn on small details, particularly in how each side manages its attacking phases and defensive transitions.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with opportunities without pointing toward an unusually open encounter. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, so neither side has a decisive advantage in that area. FK Borac Banja Luka may be expected to take more initiative at home, while Maxline Vitebsk remain capable of keeping the contest competitive. Overall, the hosts hold a narrow analytical edge, but the range of plausible match patterns remains broad.
What matters before kick-off
Borac Banja Luka's qualification result
FK Borac Banja Luka reached the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round after beating Petrocub 6-3 on aggregate (3-0 home win on July 23 and 3-3 away draw on July 30, 2026).
UEFA Conference League third qualifying round
FK Borac Banja Luka and Maxline Vitebsk face off in the 2026/27 UEFA Conference League third qualifying round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.