Feyenoord Rotterdam — Fortuna Sittard: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
86.0%
Home win
Feyenoord Rotterdam
X
9.4%
Draw
W2
4.6%
Away win
Fortuna Sittard
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X95.4%
Both teams to score
Yes52.3%
Totals 2.5
Over79.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 95.4% |
| 12 | 90.6% | |
| X2 | 14.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 98.3% / 1.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 79.0% / 21.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 60.4% / 39.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 24.6% / 75.4% |
Goal distribution model
Feyenoord Rotterdam × Fortuna Sittard
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.7%
0:1
1.0%
0:2
0.4%
0:3
0.1%
0:4
0.0%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
5.0%
1:1
4.2%
1:2
1.5%
1:3
0.4%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
8.8%
2:1
6.8%
2:2
2.6%
2:3
0.7%
2:4
0.1%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
10.1%
3:1
7.8%
3:2
3.0%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
8.6%
4:1
6.7%
4:2
2.6%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
5.9%
5:1
4.6%
5:2
1.8%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
3:010.1%
2:08.8%
4:08.6%
3:17.8%
2:16.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam
1st place · 24 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:1
- 17.10.2026 away Telstar 4:3
- 10.10.2026 home AZ Alkmaar 2:0
- 20.09.2026 home Utrecht 5:0
- 13.09.2026 away Zwolle 7:0
Fortuna Sittard
6th place · 18 pts after 10Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Excelsior 1:0
- 18.10.2026 away Nijmegen 2:2
- 10.10.2026 home Twente 1:1
- 19.09.2026 away Willem II 1:0
- 12.09.2026 home Ajax 1:5
This season: Feyenoord Rotterdam at home vs Fortuna Sittard away
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam · at home | Fortuna Sittard · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–0 | 3–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.75 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| xG for per match | 2.78 | 0.83 |
| xG against per match | 0.85 | 1.67 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.50 | 4.40 |
| Corners per match | 7.50 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Feyenoord Rotterdam wins4
Draws2
Fortuna Sittard wins0
Goals per match1.67
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
- 03.05.2026 Fortuna Sittard 1:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 17.09.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 2:0 Fortuna Sittard
- 12.04.2025 Fortuna Sittard 0:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 30.11.2024 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1:1 Fortuna Sittard
- 14.04.2024 Fortuna Sittard 0:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 13.08.2023 Feyenoord Rotterdam 0:0 Fortuna Sittard
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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