FC CSKA 1948 — FC Spartak Trnava: Win probabilities, 28.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.3% |
| 12 | 73.4% | |
| X2 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.3% / 8.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.7% / 26.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.7% / 74.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC CSKA 1948 meet FC Spartak Trnava in the UEFA Conference League qualification, with the hosts holding a slight but credible edge in the pre-match assessment. The overall outlook points towards a medium-scoring contest rather than an open goal-fest, suggesting that the match could be decided by small differences in control and efficiency.
The draw remains a significant possibility, and the most plausible scoreline is 1:1. However, 1:0 and 2:0 also fit the projected shape of the game, reflecting the advantage given to FC CSKA 1948. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so neither side has a clear analytical edge in that specific market. Overall, the 1X signal favours FC CSKA 1948 avoiding defeat, while FC Spartak Trnava remain capable of keeping the contest close.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.