DC United — Los Angeles FC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 48.8% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 76.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.0% / 18.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.4% / 63.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.3% / 80.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.9% / 91.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
- 20.08.2026 home New England Revolution 0:3
- 16.08.2026 away CF Montreal 1:1
- 02.08.2026 home Nashville SC 2:2
- 26.07.2026 home Toronto FC 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Portland Timbers 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 16.08.2026 home San Diego FC 0:1
- 02.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 1:1
- 26.07.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 4:0
This season: DC United at home vs Los Angeles FC away
| Metric | DC United · at home | Los Angeles FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 3–3–4 | 3–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 17.08.2022 Los Angeles FC 1:0 DC United
- 06.04.2019 DC United 0:4 Los Angeles FC
- 27.05.2018 Los Angeles FC 1:1 DC United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
DC United face Los Angeles FC in an MLS match where the visitors hold a slight edge. The overall assessment points toward a competitive contest rather than a one-sided encounter, but Los Angeles FC are considered the stronger side in the likely outcome. The X2 signal supports a result in which Los Angeles FC avoid defeat, while a draw remains a realistic part of the match profile.
The game is expected to produce a moderate amount of attacking activity, with both teams likely to score. That combination suggests DC United should have opportunities to contribute on the scoreboard, even if Los Angeles FC appear better placed to control key phases and make more of their chances. The most plausible scorelines indicate a narrow away win or a draw, with the visitors’ attacking advantage giving them the clearer route to victory. Overall, this is a high-confidence assessment of a slight edge for Los Angeles FC in a potentially open but balanced match.
What matters before kick-off
LAFC Injury Updates
LAFC declared Thomas Hasal, Igor Jesus, David Martínez, Sergi Palencia, Jacob Shaffelburg, and Timothy Tillman out for their MLS match against D.C. United.
D.C. United Form and Squad News
D.C. United head coach Rene Weiler noted that missing decisive starters and critical errors contributed to their recent streak of consecutive league defeats against New England and Charlotte FC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.