Atlanta United FC — Charlotte FC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.0% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 62.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.7% / 14.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.7% / 35.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.7% / 57.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.3% / 75.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.08.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:1
- 20.08.2026 away Minnesota United 2:1
- 16.08.2026 home New York Red Bulls 2:1
- 02.08.2026 away Philadelphia Union 2:3
- 26.07.2026 away New England Revolution 1:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home DC United 3:1
- 20.08.2026 away Toronto FC 3:3
- 16.08.2026 home Columbus Crew 3:1
- 02.08.2026 away Chicago Fire 1:2
- 25.07.2026 away New York Red Bulls 2:0
This season: Atlanta United FC at home vs Charlotte FC away
| Metric | Atlanta United FC · at home | Charlotte FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 9 |
| W–D–L | 4–1–5 | 2–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 2.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 23.07.2026 Charlotte FC 2:2 Atlanta United FC
- 20.07.2025 Atlanta United FC 2:3 Charlotte FC
- 01.03.2025 Charlotte FC 2:0 Atlanta United FC
- 01.09.2024 Charlotte FC 0:1 Atlanta United FC
- 02.06.2024 Atlanta United FC 2:3 Charlotte FC
- 14.05.2023 Atlanta United FC 1:3 Charlotte FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Atlanta United FC and Charlotte FC appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear advantage over the visitors, with moderate confidence in a balanced contest. That suggests a match where control may shift between the teams rather than one side consistently dictating the tempo. Both Atlanta United FC and Charlotte FC have a credible route to creating chances, so the overall outlook points toward an open game rather than a cautious encounter.
The scoring profile is high, and both teams are likely to find the net. This could produce an end-to-end rhythm, with attacking moments carrying more weight than prolonged defensive control. A draw remains a plausible outcome, while either side could also edge the match if it makes better use of its opportunities in the decisive phases. The central expectation is therefore a competitive fixture with goals at both ends and limited separation between Atlanta United FC and Charlotte FC.
What matters before kick-off
Atlanta United availability status
Atlanta United will be without Luke Brennan (ankle) and Jay Fortune (hamstring). Elías Báez is suspended due to yellow card accumulation, while new signings Breel Embolo and Mauricio Amaro remain unavailable due to pending visa processing.
Charlotte FC injury update
According to the official MLS player status report, Charlotte FC will miss Nimfasha Berchimas (lower body injury), Aron John (upper body injury), and Harry Toffolo (lower body injury).
Atlanta United call-ups
Atlanta United signed forward Enzo Dovlo and midfielder Andrew Jardines from Atlanta United 2 to Short-Term Agreements ahead of the match against Charlotte FC.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.