Match intelligence

CR Vasco da Gama RJ — Clube do Remo PA: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CR Vasco da Gama RJ0
:
0Clube do Remo PA
Locked signal W1 Probability 73.4% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 73.4% Home win CR Vasco da Gama RJ
X 17.7% Draw
W2 8.9% Away win Clube do Remo PA
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X91.1%
Both teams to score
No50.4%
Totals 2.5
Over62.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X91.1%
1282.3%
X226.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No49.6% / 50.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.1% / 4.9%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 83.8% / 16.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 62.0% / 38.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 39.8% / 60.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 22.0% / 78.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 10.6% / 89.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CR Vasco da Gama RJ × Clube do Remo PA
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.9%
0:1 2.3%
0:2 1.2%
0:3 0.3%
0:4 0.1%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 9.1%
1:1 8.4%
1:2 2.9%
1:3 0.7%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 12.1%
2:1 9.2%
2:2 3.5%
2:3 0.9%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 9.8%
3:1 7.5%
3:2 2.9%
3:3 0.7%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 6.0%
4:1 4.6%
4:2 1.7%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 2.9%
5:1 2.2%
5:2 0.9%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.1%
3:09.8%
2:19.2%
1:09.1%
1:18.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026

CR Vasco da Gama RJ

14th place · 34 pts after 28

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 08.10.2026 away Botafogo RJ 2:1
  • 20.09.2026 home Coritiba 5:0
  • 12.09.2026 away Gremio 2:1
  • 06.09.2026 away Fluminense 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 home Cruzeiro 3:1

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 24 pts after 29

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 07.10.2026 home Gremio 1:1
  • 19.09.2026 home Santos 1:2
  • 15.09.2026 away Bahia 1:2
  • 06.09.2026 home Flamengo RJ 0:1
  • 01.09.2026 home Coritiba 2:3

This season: CR Vasco da Gama RJ at home vs Clube do Remo PA away

Metric CR Vasco da Gama RJ · at home Clube do Remo PA · away
Matches1414
W–D–L7–2–52–3–9
Goals scored per match1.501.00
Goals conceded per match1.292.00
Over 2.5 goals64%64%
Both teams scored57%57%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

CR Vasco da Gama RJ wins0
Draws1
Clube do Remo PA wins0
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored1/1
Over 2.5 goals0/1
  • 11.04.2026 Clube do Remo PA 1:1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · Claude Opus 4.7

CR Vasco da Gama RJ host Clube do Remo PA in a Brasileiro Serie A fixture where the recent form lines point firmly in one direction. The hosts arrive with four wins from their last five matches, scoring twelve goals in that run, and although their league position of 14th out of 20 suggests an uneven season overall, the current momentum is a clear contrast to their opponents. Clube do Remo PA, sitting 19th with only 24 points from 29 games, have taken a single draw from their last five outings and lost the other four.

The away record reinforces that gap. Clube do Remo PA have won just two of fourteen road trips this season and conceded 28 goals on their travels, while CR Vasco da Gama RJ have collected seven home wins from fourteen attempts. On this evidence, the hosts look clearly stronger heading into kick-off.

One note of caution comes from the only prior meeting between these sides, which ended 1-1 earlier in 2026. That result is a reminder that direct history has not followed the broader form picture, so while the balance of indicators favours the home side, the margin on the night is less predictable than the overall trends might suggest.

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