Match intelligence

Coventry City — Hull City: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026

League: EPL (England) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
Coventry City0
:
1Hull City
Locked signal 1X Probability 80.9% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 54.7% Home win Coventry City
X 26.2% Draw
W2 19.1% Away win Hull City
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X80.9%
Both teams to score
Yes51.5%
Totals 2.5
Over50.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X80.9%
1273.8%
X245.3%
Both teams to scoreYes/No51.5% / 48.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.9% / 8.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 75.9% / 24.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.0% / 50.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.0% / 72.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.3% / 86.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.5% / 94.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Coventry City × Hull City
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.1%
0:1 5.3%
0:2 3.1%
0:3 1.0%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 10.7%
1:1 12.5%
1:2 5.3%
1:3 1.7%
1:4 0.4%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.3%
2:1 9.7%
2:2 4.6%
2:3 1.4%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.0%
3:1 5.6%
3:2 2.7%
3:3 0.8%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 2.6%
4:1 2.4%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.9%
5:1 0.8%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
1:010.7%
2:010.3%
2:19.7%
0:08.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026

Coventry City

17th place · 0 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 21.08.2026 away Arsenal 0:3
  • 02.05.2026 away Watford 4:0
  • 26.04.2026 home Wrexham 3:1
  • 21.04.2026 home Portsmouth 5:1
  • 17.04.2026 away Blackburn 1:1

Hull City

6th place · 3 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 22.08.2026 home Man United 2:0
  • 02.05.2026 home Norwich 2:1
  • 25.04.2026 away Charlton 1:2
  • 21.04.2026 away Leicester 2:2
  • 18.04.2026 home Birmingham 1:1

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Coventry City wins1
Draws4
Hull City wins1
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 06.04.2026 Hull City 0:0 Coventry City
  • 09.08.2025 Coventry City 0:0 Hull City
  • 14.04.2025 Hull City 1:1 Coventry City
  • 14.12.2024 Coventry City 2:1 Hull City
  • 24.04.2024 Coventry City 2:3 Hull City
  • 15.09.2023 Hull City 1:1 Coventry City

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Coventry City host Hull City in an EPL fixture scheduled for 14:00 UTC on 29 August 2026. The assessment gives Coventry City a slight edge, with the overall signal favouring the home side while also covering the draw. That points to a competitive match in which home advantage may be the main separating factor, rather than a pronounced gap between the teams.

The expected profile is medium-scoring, with 1:1, 1:0 and 2:0 identified as the most likely scorelines. That range reflects a game that could remain tight, particularly if Hull City can limit Coventry City's opportunities, while a controlled home performance could produce a narrow Coventry City win. Both teams scoring is considered evenly balanced, so there is no clear indication that either side will definitely find the net. Overall, Coventry City have the stronger position in the preview, but Hull City remain capable of making the contest close.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Coventry City Injury News

Coventry City manager Frank Lampard confirmed Kaine Kesler-Hayden and Luke Woolfenden are set to miss several weeks due to hamstring and knee injuries respectively. Forward Haji Wright also remains sidelined with a thigh injury.

Availability

Hull City Player Availability

Defenders Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, Nobel Mendy, and Ryan Giles have recovered from minor knock concerns and are available for Hull City's trip to Coventry.

Match fact

Return of Top-Flight Football to CBS Arena

The match against Hull City marks Coventry City's first top-flight home fixture in 25 years.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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