Charlton Athletic — Bristol City: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026

Charlton Athletic host Bristol City in a Championship fixture where the table separates these sides by a single point and one position: the visitors sit ninth with thirteen points from eight games, while the hosts are tenth on twelve. The recent form lines diverge sharply, though. Charlton Athletic arrive on a run of five matches without a win, taking three draws alongside two defeats and conceding eight goals in the process. Bristol City have been more productive, with three wins in their last five, even if the goals have flowed at both ends.

The context around this ground tells a different story. Charlton Athletic remain unbeaten at home this season, taking two wins and two draws from four, with a tidy goal difference of three scored and one conceded. Bristol City, meanwhile, have been equally comfortable on their travels, winning two of four away and scoring eight. The head-to-head also leans visitors' way: Bristol City have won two of the last four meetings, and the most recent encounter finished Charlton Athletic 1-2 Bristol City.

Weighing stronger recent form and the head-to-head record against the hosts' solid home base, there is a slight edge for the visitors, though the margin is modest and a tight, medium-scoring contest looks plausible.