CA San Lorenzo de Almagro — CA Talleres de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.4% |
| 12 | 67.4% | |
| X2 | 65.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.0% / 62.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.3% / 98.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Talleres de Cordoba appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points towards a cautious contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance may make territorial control and the management of small moments more important than sustained dominance.
A low-scoring match is expected, and a clean sheet looks likely within the main scenario. The most plausible scorelines are 0:0, 1:0, and 1:1, all of which reflect a game where chances could be limited and the margin between the teams remains narrow. With moderate confidence in this reading, the result is best approached as a closely contested encounter, with CA San Lorenzo de Almagro having a slight edge in the broader outcome signal.
What matters before kick-off
Recent official result
On September 5, 2026, San Lorenzo defeated Talleres de Córdoba 1-0 in matchday 8 of the Torneo Clausura. Alexis Cuello scored the winning goal in the 63rd minute.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.