CA Aldosivi — CA Tigre: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.8% |
| 12 | 64.5% | |
| X2 | 67.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 37.9% / 62.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 28.1% / 71.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.2% / 98.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and CA Tigre look evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence rather than a strong lean toward either side, suggesting that the contest may be decided by small details. Home advantage gives CA Aldosivi a degree of support, but CA Tigre appear capable of keeping the game balanced.
The expected pattern is a cautious, low-scoring match in which defensive organisation could carry greater weight than sustained attacking pressure. A clean sheet is considered likely, while the most plausible scenarios involve a goalless draw, a level score with limited chances, or a narrow victory for CA Aldosivi. Overall, the outlook favours a controlled encounter with little separating the teams and limited room for error in key areas.
What matters before kick-off
0-0 Draw on Matchday 5 of Torneo Clausura
CA Aldosivi and CA Tigre played out a 0-0 draw in matchday five of the Argentine Torneo Clausura at the José María Minella Stadium.
Red Card for Tigre
Tigre defender Gonzalo Requena was sent off after receiving a second yellow card in the 77th minute against Aldosivi.
Aldosivi's Winless Streak
Following the draw against Tigre, Aldosivi extended their winless streak in domestic league matches to 21 consecutive games.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.