CA Aldosivi — CA Banfield: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.1% |
| 12 | 67.7% | |
| X2 | 66.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.5% / 13.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.0% / 98.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
CA Aldosivi and CA Banfield appear evenly matched ahead of their Primera LPF, Clausura meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, suggesting a contest likely to be decided by small details rather than sustained dominance. The moderate confidence reflects a balanced outlook, with the home side having some protection from playing at home but no strong separation between the teams.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, which points towards a cautious tactical approach and limited room for error. A draw is a credible scenario, with 1:1 and 0:0 among the most plausible scorelines, while a narrow 0:1 result also remains within the range of outcomes. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the game may hinge on which side makes better use of its few attacking opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Result of round 8 of the 2026 Clausura
Aldosivi secured a 3-1 victory over Banfield at the Estadio José María Minella thanks to a brace from Andrés Vombergar and an own goal by Renzo Malanca.
Successful debut for Javier Sanguinetti
The victory against Banfield marked Javier Sanguinetti's first win as the new head coach of Aldosivi in the 2026 Argentine Torneo Clausura.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.