Botafogo FR RJ — CA Paranaense PR: Win probabilities, 24.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.9% |
| 12 | 72.2% | |
| X2 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 24.08.2026
Botafogo FR RJ
11th place · 30 pts after 22Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Vitoria 0:1
- 09.08.2026 home Fluminense 1:1
- 26.07.2026 away Cruzeiro 1:0
- 23.07.2026 home Vitoria 0:0
- 16.07.2026 home Santos 2:1
CA Paranaense PR
3rd place · 41 pts after 23Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Bragantino 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Santos 2:0
- 30.07.2026 away Corinthians 0:0
- 25.07.2026 home Internacional 2:0
- 23.07.2026 away Sao Paulo 2:1
This season: Botafogo FR RJ at home vs CA Paranaense PR away
| Metric | Botafogo FR RJ · at home | CA Paranaense PR · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–2 | 4–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 29.03.2026 CA Paranaense PR 4:1 Botafogo FR RJ
- 05.10.2024 CA Paranaense PR 0:1 Botafogo FR RJ
- 19.06.2024 Botafogo FR RJ 1:1 CA Paranaense PR
- 22.10.2023 Botafogo FR RJ 1:1 CA Paranaense PR
- 03.06.2023 CA Paranaense PR 1:0 Botafogo FR RJ
- 13.11.2022 CA Paranaense PR 3:0 Botafogo FR RJ
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Botafogo FR RJ and CA Paranaense PR meet in the Brasileiro Serie A with the overall assessment pointing to an evenly matched contest. The moderate confidence level suggests that neither side holds a decisive advantage, while the 1X signal gives the hosts a slight degree of protection in the match outlook. That should make the opening phases important, particularly if both teams approach the game with caution.
The scoring expectation is medium, so the match could develop into a balanced contest rather than an open exchange from the start. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, with the available assessment treating that outcome as a coin flip. Botafogo FR RJ may have the stronger case to avoid defeat, but CA Paranaense PR remain capable of making the game competitive. A narrow home result or a draw fits the balanced profile, without providing a clear basis for a firm prediction.
What matters before kick-off
Botafogo squad availability updates
Botafogo enter the round 24 match under interim coach Rodrigo Bellão. The team is without injured players Kaio Pantaleão and Warleson, while striker Arthur Cabral serves a suspension.
Recent results for both sides
Botafogo dropped their previous Serie A match 1-0 against Vitória before securing a 1-0 win against Cienciano in the Copa Sudamericana. Athletico Paranaense come into the fixture following a 1-1 draw against Red Bull Bragantino.
Previous head-to-head meeting
In the previous meeting between the two sides earlier in the season, Athletico Paranaense claimed a decisive 4-1 home victory over Botafogo.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.