Coritiba FC PR — SC Corinthians SP: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.5% |
| 12 | 68.3% | |
| X2 | 68.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.6% / 12.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 38.0% / 62.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 18.2% / 81.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.5% / 97.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026
Coritiba FC PR
10th place · 31 pts after 23Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 away Sao Paulo 1:1
- 09.08.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 2:1
- 31.07.2026 home Cruzeiro 0:1
- 26.07.2026 away Bragantino 0:0
- 22.07.2026 home Palmeiras 1:3
SC Corinthians SP
9th place · 32 pts after 23Last 5 matches · latest first
- 16.08.2026 home Cruzeiro 1:2
- 09.08.2026 away Bragantino 2:0
- 30.07.2026 home Athletico-PR 0:0
- 26.07.2026 away Bahia 1:1
- 23.07.2026 home Remo 3:0
This season: Coritiba FC PR at home vs SC Corinthians SP away
| Metric | Coritiba FC PR · at home | SC Corinthians SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–3–4 | 3–5–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 12.03.2026 SC Corinthians SP 0:2 Coritiba FC PR
- 07.12.2023 Coritiba FC PR 0:2 SC Corinthians SP
- 13.08.2023 SC Corinthians SP 3:1 Coritiba FC PR
- 09.11.2022 Coritiba FC PR 2:2 SC Corinthians SP
- 21.07.2022 SC Corinthians SP 3:1 Coritiba FC PR
- 26.11.2020 Coritiba FC PR 0:1 SC Corinthians SP
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Coritiba FC PR face SC Corinthians SP in Brasileiro Serie A in a fixture that looks finely balanced. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. Confidence in that reading is moderate, so the match may be shaped by small details rather than a pronounced difference between the teams.
The scoring outlook is cautious, with a low-scoring game considered more likely than an open exchange. Whether both teams find the net is difficult to separate, making that aspect effectively a coin flip. The strongest directional signal gives SC Corinthians SP some protection against defeat, but the draw remains a central possibility. Scorelines such as 1:1, 0:0, or a narrow 0:1 away win fit the broader expectation of a tight encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Brasileirão matchday 24 fixture
Coritiba host Corinthians at Estádio Couto Pereira in round 24 of the Campeonato Brasileiro on 23 August 2026. In their previous round, Coritiba drew 1-1 with São Paulo while Corinthians fell 1-2 to Cruzeiro.
Reverse fixture result
In the first leg of the 2026 Brasileirão season, Coritiba defeated Corinthians 2-0 away at the Neo Química Arena.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.