Wrexham AFC — Burnley FC: Win probabilities, 08.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.3% |
| 12 | 71.3% | |
| X2 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.7% / 8.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.0% / 22.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.5% / 85.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.09.2026
Wrexham AFC
12th place · 6 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Swansea 0:0
- 02.09.2026 away Millwall 3:0
- 28.08.2026 home Birmingham 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Watford 1:1
- 17.08.2026 away Cardiff 1:1
Burnley FC
24th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Bristol City 1:2
- 02.09.2026 home Middlesbrough 1:1
- 29.08.2026 away Norwich 1:4
- 23.08.2026 away West Brom 1:3
- 16.08.2026 home West Ham 2:2
This season: Wrexham AFC at home vs Burnley FC away
| Metric | Wrexham AFC · at home | Burnley FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 3.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.67 | 1.07 |
| xG against per match | 1.14 | 1.78 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.50 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Wrexham AFC have a slight edge over Burnley FC in this Championship meeting, with the assessment carrying a high level of confidence. That advantage does not point to a one-sided contest, however, as the available scorelines suggest a relatively narrow margin between the teams. A draw remains a credible outcome alongside a home victory.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 standing out as the most likely scorelines. This range reflects a game that could be decided by a single goal, while the 1:1 option underlines the competitive balance between Wrexham AFC and Burnley FC. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, so the clearest reading is a home result or draw rather than a decisive victory for either side.
What matters before kick-off
First Meeting in 26 Years
The Championship match between Wrexham and Burnley marks the first fixture between the two clubs in 26 years.
Recent League Form
Ahead of matchday six in the Championship, Wrexham have accumulated six points from five games, while Burnley remain winless in the league at the bottom of the table.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.