Watford FC — Preston North End: Win probabilities, 08.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.4% |
| 12 | 71.9% | |
| X2 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.8% / 21.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.1% / 68.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.4% / 84.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.6% / 93.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.09.2026
Watford FC
19th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away West Brom 0:1
- 01.09.2026 away Swansea 0:2
- 29.08.2026 home West Ham 1:1
- 22.08.2026 away Wrexham 1:1
- 16.08.2026 home Southampton 2:1
Preston North End
23rd place · 3 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Blackburn 2:1
- 01.09.2026 home Bristol City 1:3
- 29.08.2026 away Charlton 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Wolves 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Bolton 1:2
This season: Watford FC at home vs Preston North End away
| Metric | Watford FC · at home | Preston North End · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.21 | 1.02 |
| xG against per match | 1.30 | 0.99 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.02.2026 Preston North End 2:2 Watford FC
- 25.11.2025 Watford FC 1:1 Preston North End
- 21.01.2025 Watford FC 1:2 Preston North End
- 02.10.2024 Preston North End 3:0 Watford FC
- 06.04.2024 Watford FC 0:0 Preston North End
- 16.12.2023 Preston North End 1:5 Watford FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Watford FC have a slight edge over Preston North End in this Championship meeting, with the assessment indicating high confidence in the home side’s position. That advantage is not expected to make the match one-sided, however, and the overall outlook points towards a medium-scoring contest. Watford FC should have the stronger platform, but Preston North End remain capable of keeping the game competitive.
The scoring outlook is balanced: both teams scoring is considered an even possibility rather than a clear expectation. The most plausible scorelines reflect that uncertainty, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 all featuring in the assessment. Overall, the signal favours Watford FC avoiding defeat, while a draw remains a realistic outcome if Preston North End can limit the hosts’ opportunities and maintain their defensive shape.
What matters before kick-off
Watford injury list
Watford head into the match with several injury absentees, including defenders Marc Bola, Omar Traore, Jeremy Ngakia and Branimir Mlacic, as well as forwards Kwadwo Baah and Jack Grieves.
Preston North End squad availability
Preston North End remain without injured players Brad Potts, Alistair McCann and Theo Carroll for the trip to Vicarage Road.
Watford home schedule
Watford remain unbeaten at home in the Championship so far this season and kick off back-to-back home fixtures at Vicarage Road ahead of hosting Stoke City.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.