Villarreal CF — Levante UD: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.8% |
| 12 | 81.1% | |
| X2 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.1% / 37.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.1% / 12.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 68.5% / 31.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.1% / 71.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.09.2026
Villarreal CF
15th place · 5 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.09.2026 away Malaga 3:1
- 14.09.2026 home Betis 1:2
- 05.09.2026 home La Coruna 2:3
- 28.08.2026 away Alaves 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Ath Madrid 2:2
Levante UD
16th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 home Barcelona 2:4
- 06.09.2026 away Malaga 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Betis 5:2
- 24.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:0
- 16.08.2026 away Espanol 0:3
This season: Villarreal CF at home vs Levante UD away
| Metric | Villarreal CF · at home | Levante UD · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.55 | 0.86 |
| xG against per match | 2.18 | 1.27 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.50 | 1.33 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 Villarreal CF 5:1 Levante UD
- 18.02.2026 Levante UD 0:1 Villarreal CF
- 02.04.2022 Levante UD 2:0 Villarreal CF
- 03.01.2022 Villarreal CF 5:0 Levante UD
- 18.04.2021 Levante UD 1:5 Villarreal CF
- 02.01.2021 Villarreal CF 2:1 Levante UD
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Villarreal CF go into this LaLiga meeting with the stronger overall outlook, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should not be overstated. Levante UD remain capable of making the match competitive, particularly if they can stay organised without the ball and take advantage of any spaces left by the hosts.
The expected pattern points towards an open, high-scoring contest rather than a cautious game. Both teams are considered likely to score, which gives Levante UD a credible route into the match even with Villarreal CF holding the clearer edge. Villarreal CF should look to impose their attacking quality and control the main phases of play, while Levante UD will need to respond efficiently when opportunities arise. The home side are favoured, but the balance of attacking intent means the result may remain uncertain deep into the match.
What matters before kick-off
LaLiga Round 7 Match
Villarreal host Levante UD at Estadio de la Cerámica on September 20, 2026, for Round 7 of LaLiga.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.