Match intelligence

RC Deportivo de A Coruna — Real Betis Seville: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026

League: LaLiga (Spain) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
RC Deportivo de A Coruna1
:
1Real Betis Seville
Locked signal X2 Probability 74.0% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 26.0% Home win RC Deportivo de A Coruna
X 24.5% Draw
W2 49.5% Away win Real Betis Seville
Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1275.7%
Both teams to score
Yes60.4%
Totals 2.5
Over58.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X50.8%
1275.7%
X273.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No60.4% / 39.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.7% / 5.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 81.5% / 18.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 58.9% / 41.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 36.5% / 63.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 19.4% / 80.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 9.0% / 91.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RC Deportivo de A Coruna × Real Betis Seville
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 5.3%
0:1 7.9%
0:2 7.6%
0:3 4.5%
0:4 2.0%
0:5 0.7%
1
1:0 5.4%
1:1 11.2%
1:2 9.6%
1:3 5.7%
1:4 2.6%
1:5 0.9%
2
2:0 3.8%
2:1 6.7%
2:2 6.0%
2:3 3.6%
2:4 1.6%
2:5 0.6%
3
3:0 1.6%
3:1 2.8%
3:2 2.5%
3:3 1.5%
3:4 0.7%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.5%
4:1 0.9%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.2%
1:29.6%
0:17.9%
0:27.6%
2:16.7%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

RC Deportivo de A Coruna host Real Betis Seville in LaLiga on 20 September 2026. The assessment gives Real Betis Seville a slight edge, with the overall signal favouring the visitors avoiding defeat. That points to a competitive contest in which the away side may be better placed to control key phases, although the difference between the teams is not large enough to dismiss the draw.

The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with plausible scorelines including 1:1, 1:2 and 0:1. This suggests a game that could remain finely balanced while still offering opportunities at both ends. Whether both teams score is viewed as evenly uncertain, so the main distinction lies less in a clear attacking mismatch than in the marginal advantage given to Real Betis Seville. RC Deportivo de A Coruna should remain capable of making the contest difficult, particularly if they can keep the game level into its later stages.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

International break follows Betis match for Deportivo

RC Deportivo face Real Betis on September 20 immediately before a two-week international break during which several Deportivo players will join their national teams.

Availability

Angelino suspended for Deportivo

Deportivo La Coruna defender Angelino is suspended for the fixture against Real Betis following a red card received on his club debut against Sevilla.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

Other matches

→ LaLiga

After the analysis · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
View offer ↗
OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel
About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

ONE PERSON. AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT.

One person behind the project. Your support makes a difference.

The project currently runs at a loss. A voluntary contribution helps with hosting, data and AI services.

Support the project
18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling

Finding oddmind.app useful?

One person keeps this project running, and it currently brings more expenses than income. If you would like to help, a small voluntary contribution makes a difference.

Support the project
Completely optional. You can keep using the site without donating.