Sunderland — Fulham: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.9% |
| 12 | 70.9% | |
| X2 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.3% / 25.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.9% / 74.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Sunderland
15th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Ipswich 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Chelsea 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Everton 3:1
- 09.05.2026 home Man United 0:0
- 02.05.2026 away Wolves 1:1
Fulham
14th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.08.2026 home Chelsea 2:3
- 24.05.2026 home Newcastle 2:0
- 17.05.2026 away Wolves 1:1
- 09.05.2026 home Bournemouth 0:1
- 02.05.2026 away Arsenal 0:3
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 22.02.2026 Sunderland 1:3 Fulham
- 22.11.2025 Fulham 1:0 Sunderland
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sunderland and Fulham appear evenly matched ahead of their EPL meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight edge in terms of avoiding defeat, but the confidence is moderate rather than strong. That points to a competitive contest in which neither side has a clearly defined advantage, with the balance potentially decided by small details during the match.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net is finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 0:0 and 2:1, reflecting a range from a cautious draw to a narrow Sunderland win. Sunderland should have a reasonable platform at home, but Fulham remain capable of keeping the game level or making the hosts work for any positive result. Overall, the data supports a close encounter with a draw or narrow home result more consistent than a decisive victory for either team.
What matters before kick-off
Recent head-to-head advantage
Fulham have won each of their last three league meetings against Sunderland ahead of this match.
Opening weekend results
Sunderland lost 2-1 to Ipswich Town in their Premier League opener, while Fulham suffered a 3-2 defeat against Chelsea.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.