Sheffield United — Birmingham City: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.1% |
| 12 | 72.0% | |
| X2 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.0% / 8.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.5% / 24.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.8% / 72.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.4% / 94.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 away Derby 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Preston 2:3
- 22.04.2026 home Blackburn 1:3
- 18.04.2026 away Watford 2:0
- 11.04.2026 home Hull 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.05.2026 away Portsmouth 1:1
- 25.04.2026 home Bristol City 2:1
- 22.04.2026 home Preston 2:1
- 18.04.2026 away Hull 1:1
- 12.04.2026 home Wrexham 2:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.03.2026 Birmingham City 1:1 Sheffield United
- 20.12.2025 Sheffield United 3:0 Birmingham City
- 08.05.2023 Birmingham City 1:2 Sheffield United
- 01.10.2022 Sheffield United 1:1 Birmingham City
- 04.02.2022 Birmingham City 1:2 Sheffield United
- 07.08.2021 Sheffield United 0:1 Birmingham City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sheffield United and Birmingham City meet in the Championship in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available assessment gives the hosts a moderate level of support, but not enough to suggest a clear separation between the sides. Sheffield United may have a slight structural advantage from playing at home, while Birmingham City remain well placed to make the match competitive across the ninety minutes.
The game is projected to sit in a medium-scoring range, with both teams scoring viewed as an uncertain possibility rather than a strong expectation. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:0, which reflects a narrow range of outcomes rather than a decisive forecast. Overall, the balance points toward a match in which Sheffield United have some protection against defeat, but Birmingham City have a realistic opportunity to take something from the fixture.
What matters before kick-off
League Cup victories prior to Championship opener
Ahead of their Championship opening match, both teams earned wins in the Carabao Cup first round, with Sheffield United defeating Mansfield Town 3-0 and Birmingham City beating Swansea City 1-0.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.