Seattle Sounders — Houston Dynamo: Win probabilities, 29.10.2026

Seattle Sounders enter their MLS meeting with Houston Dynamo holding a slight edge, supported by a more convincing recent record and a positive head-to-head history. Seattle have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five matches, scoring eight goals and conceding five. Their home performances have been reasonably solid, with seven wins and four draws from 15 matches this season. However, conceding 21 goals at home suggests that Houston may find opportunities even if Seattle control much of the contest.

Houston Dynamo arrive after a frustrating run of four consecutive draws followed by a defeat. They have scored seven goals and conceded nine across their last five matches, indicating that their games have remained competitive without consistently producing victories. Their away record of five wins, four draws and six losses shows they can collect results on the road, although conceding 25 goals in those 15 matches highlights a potential vulnerability against an effective attack.

The head-to-head record offers further encouragement for Seattle Sounders: they have won three of the last six meetings, with the remaining three ending in draws. Seattle also secured a 1-0 victory in the most recent encounter in 2026. Both teams have reasons to expect scoring opportunities, but Seattle's home advantage and stronger recent results make them the more appealing side, with a draw remaining a credible alternative.