San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids: Win probabilities, 29.10.2026

San Jose Earthquakes have a slight edge against Colorado Rapids in this MLS meeting, with their home record offering a reasonable basis for optimism. Across 15 home matches this season, San Jose Earthquakes have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats, scoring 26 goals and conceding 23. That record points to a team capable of creating chances on familiar ground, although defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern. Their recent form has been mixed, with one win, three draws and one loss in the last five matches, suggesting that consistency has been difficult to establish.

Colorado Rapids arrive with a similar recent record of one win, three draws and one defeat, having scored 6 goals and conceded 6 across their last five matches. However, their away performances present a more significant concern: 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in 15 away games, with 13 goals scored and 26 conceded. This contrast strengthens the case for the hosts, even if Colorado Rapids have shown enough resilience recently to remain competitive. The previous meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, underlining the possibility of another closely contested encounter. Both sides have reasons to expect scoring opportunities, and the overall balance points towards an entertaining match in which San Jose Earthquakes hold the slight advantage, rather than a comfortable home victory.