Match intelligence

Oud-Heverlee Leuven — RAAL La Louviere: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Oud-Heverlee Leuven2
:
0RAAL La Louviere
Locked signal 1X Probability 72.2% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 45.4% Home win Oud-Heverlee Leuven
X 26.9% Draw
W2 27.8% Away win RAAL La Louviere
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.1%
Both teams to score
Yes55.7%
Totals 2.5
Over51.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X72.2%
1273.1%
X254.6%
Both teams to scoreYes/No55.7% / 44.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.7% / 7.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 76.8% / 23.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 51.7% / 48.3%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 29.6% / 70.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 14.4% / 85.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.0% / 94.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Oud-Heverlee Leuven × RAAL La Louviere
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.3%
0:1 6.7%
0:2 4.5%
0:3 1.8%
0:4 0.5%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 9.1%
1:1 12.8%
1:2 7.0%
1:3 2.7%
1:4 0.8%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 7.9%
2:1 9.3%
2:2 5.5%
2:3 2.2%
2:4 0.6%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 4.1%
3:1 4.8%
3:2 2.9%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.6%
4:1 1.9%
4:2 1.1%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.5%
5:1 0.6%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.8%
2:19.3%
1:09.1%
2:07.9%
0:07.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

17th place · 1 pts after 6

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 12.09.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:1
  • 06.09.2026 away Beveren 0:3
  • 03.09.2026 away Gent 0:1
  • 29.08.2026 home Standard 1:2
  • 15.08.2026 home Club Brugge 0:3

RAAL La Louviere

14th place · 4 pts after 6

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 13.09.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
  • 05.09.2026 away St Truiden 0:4
  • 29.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:2
  • 21.08.2026 away Standard 0:2
  • 16.08.2026 home Gent 1:2

This season: Oud-Heverlee Leuven at home vs RAAL La Louviere away

Metric Oud-Heverlee Leuven · at home RAAL La Louviere · away
Matches33
W–D–L0–1–20–0–3
Goals scored per match0.670.33
Goals conceded per match2.002.67
xG for per match1.180.75
xG against per match1.962.20
Shots on target per match2.002.67
Corners per match4.002.33
Over 2.5 goals67%67%
Both teams scored67%33%

Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings

Oud-Heverlee Leuven wins0
Draws1
RAAL La Louviere wins1
Goals per match1.50
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
  • 27.12.2025 RAAL La Louviere 0:0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  • 20.09.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:2 RAAL La Louviere

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Oud-Heverlee Leuven have a slight but credible edge over RAAL La Louviere in this First Division A meeting. The assessment points toward a competitive match in which the hosts are clearly stronger, though not by a margin that removes the possibility of a draw. The 1X signal supports that cautious reading, with Oud-Heverlee Leuven best placed to avoid defeat.

The game is expected to produce a moderate amount of attacking activity rather than an especially open contest. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so neither side has a clear advantage in that specific market. The most plausible scorelines indicate a narrow home win or a balanced draw, with results such as 1-0, 1-1, or 2-1 fitting the overall profile. RAAL La Louviere should remain competitive, but Oud-Heverlee Leuven hold the stronger position going into the match.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Recent team results

Oud-Heverlee Leuven head into the fixture following a 1-1 draw against Cercle Brugge, whereas RAAL La Louvière secured a 3-0 home victory over KV Kortrijk in their last league game.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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