Inter Miami CF — FC Cincinnati: Win probabilities, 28.10.2026

Inter Miami CF enter this MLS meeting with FC Cincinnati holding a clear overall advantage, particularly given the contrast in their home and away performances. Inter Miami CF have won three of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding five, which points to an attack capable of creating consistent pressure while maintaining reasonable defensive control. At home this season, they have scored 41 goals in 15 matches, although seven draws and two defeats show that turning territorial advantage into victories has not always been straightforward.

FC Cincinnati have also recorded three wins in their last five matches, scoring nine goals, so their recent form suggests they can contribute offensively. However, their away record is a significant concern: three wins, six draws and seven losses in 16 matches, with 41 goals conceded. That defensive vulnerability could be decisive against a home side with such a strong scoring record. The previous meeting in 2026 ended in an 8-goal contest, with Inter Miami CF winning 5-3 away from home, reinforcing the potential for an open encounter.

Inter Miami CF are clearly stronger in this matchup, with home scoring power providing the main basis for that assessment. FC Cincinnati have enough attacking output to threaten, but their away defensive record makes containing the hosts a difficult task. A high-scoring match, with both teams finding the net, appears a reasonable overall expectation.